Zac Goldsmith today tweeing that bexpansion is dead
THE PLANNED third runway at Heathrow has been thrown into doubt by a hung Parliament, The Sun can reveal.
And Labour’s own manifesto pointedly made no specific mention of Heathrow — only committing the party to a vague pledge to expand Britain’s airport capacity — leaving the opposition free to wreck the plan.
The number of Tories opposed to the move forced the PM to kick the issue into the long grass last October with yet another consultation — but MPs are yet to actually vote on the decision.
Members of public are currently being asked their views ahead of parliamentary scrutiny of their responses – meaning it could be up to a year before the decision reaches the division lobbies.
The Conservatives manifesto reaffirmed the support for new Heathrow runway, however Government Whips believe the plan faces a rough ride through a balanced House of Commons.
Lets do some math
Heathrow is an EVEL matter
Conservative Mps in England
Other Mps in England
Majority = 102
Even with 40 rebels they would have a majority of 10.
That’s assuming all labour MPS vote against.
Mc Donnell is very much in a minority amongst Labour Mps as anti-heathrow. The Unions and most of the PLP are in favour. The Manifesto is strongly pro runway expansion without mentioning Heathrow so a whip couldn’t be enforced.
Before the election only around 20 London Labour mps opposed expansion. Lets be generous and say its now 30
By parliamentary arithmetic
Total for 462
Total Against 80
Majority in Favour 462-80=382
A whopping majority that would humiliate John Mc Donnell
If the conservatives had any sense it would be in the Queens Speech.
Note these numbers may be generous to the no side as many of the Anti-Heathrow London Conservative Mps have now lost their seats.