Now we have an Official Estimate on the Impact of Brexit on OAN – It will Increase

OBR in Telegraph

The Office of Budget Responsibility [OBR] said net immigration will be 185,000 a year rather than the 265,000 a year that was expected.


Long-term principal assumptions in England 2014-based population projections Fertility: Average number of children per woman: 1.90 Life expectancy: Expectancy of life at birth in 2039 Male: 84.4 Female 87.2 Long term annual net migration: +170,500

In other words the Household projection already had a way to low assumption of net migration and indeed Migration Watch have complained about this for years.

So those arguing Brexit means to have to lower OAN estimates in local plans – make everyones lives easier by improving the statistics by getting out of the country.


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