Letter here. I would say the Inspectors estimate seems a little low as household projections are only the start of assessing need objectively as you also need to account for second home ownership, frictional vacancies etc. The inspector does not justify why these additional factors should be ignored.
I am currently inclined to conclude that the balance of the evidence does not support an objectively assessed housing need as low as 37,000 homes.
For example, based upon the Fordham work, allowing for completions and
notwithstanding an affordable housing need that may exceed 1,100 dwellings per year, levels of housing need appear to warrant provision in the order of 44,000 dwellings over the plan period. Alternatively, based upon ONS population projections, the Council’s evidence suggests the housing need would appear to be in the order of 43,200 (43,900 allowing for concealed households). Various alternative assessments of housing need produced by interested parties have utilised the available data in differing ways, for example employing the Chelmer methodology, to indicate that levels of need exist above 44,000 dwellings over the plan period. Such approaches incorporate consideration of 2nd home ownership, vacancy rates and the economic aspirations of the Council. Ultimately they support an objectively assessed need that is significantly greater than the minimum CS figure of 37,000 dwellings over the plan period.
My current interpretation of the evidence leads me to find that the objectively assessed housing need across the three Wiltshire HMAs would be in the region of 44,000 homes for the plan period…
The consequences would be that Wilthore would be just short of a 5 year (+5%) housing supply and would need to bring forward an allocations DPD.
The evidence indicates a considerable need for various forms of affordable housing throughout Wiltshire. Core Policy 43 seeks the provision of at least 40% (net) on sites of 5 or more dwellings and financial contributions in other circumstances. In essence and whilst I recognise a considerable need for such
housing, I am concerned that the figure of 40% is not justified adequately by the evidence base, particularly the Affordable Housing Viability Assessment…
The justification and effectiveness of the policy is in question. However, there is insufficient evidence to establish what alternative figure may be justified and therefore I am faced with a conundrum of how Core Policy 43 and its
supporting text may be modified to ensure the CS as a whole is justified adequately and will be effective in operation.
On G&T provision
With regard to the[this] the CS does not identify a supply of specific deliverable sites for the next 5 years nor does it identify a supply of specific developable sites or broad locations for growth for the remainder of the plan period. Consistency with this aspect of national policy is not achieved.
Also he questioned the claulation of G&T need
It appears to me that the Council could reassess this matter with a view to ensuring that it does not underestimate the requirements for the remainder of the Plan period. The programmed DPD could assist in matters of specific
delivery but the CS should logically set a robust indication of necessary pitch provision for the relevant period, including the next five years whilst acknowledging the absence of a specific land supply. Consequently further work would appear to be required to ensure that there is reliable data to inform the strategic content of the plan.
There were Forest Heath/Greater Norwich concerns – iot still suprises me that plans keep making this mistake
Without going into full details, there is a body of evidence which provides support for the strategic allocations identified in Core Policy 10. Nevertheless,
the Council is obliged to consider whether reasonable alternatives exist in order to ensure that the submitted plan is justified adequately.
During the preparation of the submitted CS, the Council considered there was positive scope for further strategic development to the east of Chippenham.
The approach presented was amended following onsultation on the Wiltshire 2026 publication. In this context, yet not exclusively so, a number of concerns have been expressed at the way in which the Council has considered alternatives to the content of Core Policy 10 and the way in which options have been assessed. In short, I share some of those concerns.
It is important, as indicated by case law, that the process and outcomes of Sustainability Appraisal (SA) can withstand scrutiny as an evidence source which assists in justifying the content of the CS. With this in mind, the proponents of unallocated land to the east of Chippenham (the ‘2020 site’)
have submitted detailed evidence identifying potential shortcomings in the Council’s SA and site selection process. A primary concern is the way in which the Council has dealt with the 2020 site in relation to other options.
Yet the evidence does not indicate that the Council considered equitably the reasonable alternative of an
East Chippenham allocation (reduced in scale compared to the Wiltshire 2026 proposal) against the preferred option that ultimately found its way to be part of Core Policy 10…
Whilst the Council’s evidence acknowledges that mitigation in the form of a completed eastern distributor road for Option 3 was likely, the mitigation was not assumed to be in place for the testing/modelling of Option 3. Instead,
Option 3 was tested on the basis of a connection to the A4. Such an approach is not equitable for the purposes of the SA; particularly when the evidence indicates that Option 3 could not be feasibly completed without the distributor
road. The manner in which this matter has been treated has affected the content of the SA…
Submissions have been made to the Examination in relation to a large number of potential development sites in and around Chippenham. It is primarily for the Council to ascertain, through due and equitable consideration of alternatives, how best any new development should be accommodated. In the absence of a robust SA in these regards, I have insufficient clear evidence upon
which to base a recommendation as to which sites should be developed through until 2026.
On settlement boundaries
The CS refers to defined settlement boundaries for the hierarchy at the level of Large Villages and above. By such means the Council intends to provide clarity on what forms of sustainable development may be carried out where in a manner consistent with the Framework. There is no compelling evidence to suggest that such an approach is flawed. …However, the Council has not reviewed the extent of the boundaries to inform the CS; instead relying upon the pre-existing development plan documents….and it cannot be argued with great strength that the settlement boundaries contained therein are up-to-date for the purposes of the CS plan period.
The large geographic scale of Wiltshire and the sheer number and variety of its settlements does present challenges to the practical completion of an appropriate and swift review of settlement boundaries. Rather than delay to a disproportionate extent the adoption of the submitted CS, there appears scope to advance such a timely review through a Sites Allocation DPD